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FINANCIALS, EQUITIES and CURRENCIES PDF Print E-mail
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Friday, 03 October 2008

Image FINANCIALS
The December Treasury Bonds and December Treasury Notes are trading better overnight. Some of this rally is due to flight-to-quality concerns following yesterday’s big drop in the stock market. Others are looking at the possibility of a bad unemployment report signaling that the Fed will have to cut interest rates to stimulate the economy. On the downside, the passage of the banking rescue plan by the House will likely put downside pressure on the market as this plan will blow out the federal budget deficit and cause rates to go up later.

EQUITIES
Global equity markets are trading better overnight. Wells Fargo announced a buyout of Wachovia. This action has brought stability to the market because it was announced before the House vote on the U.S. banking rescue plan. This also indicates that Wells is confident that the bill will pass today and is willing to take a calculated risk. At this time the charts indicate no sign of a bottom, however.

CURRENCIES
Trading in the currency market is mixed overnight with a slight bias to the upside. The currency futures have shown tremendous weakness this week as the Dollar has gained strength as a safe haven market. Banks started to hoard Dollars earlier in the week after the Dutch central bank bailed out banking giant Fortis, the Bank of England bailed out mortgage house Bradford and Bingley, and the French came to the aid of foreign bank Dexia. Yesterday the European Central Bank sent out a signal that interest rates would come down later in the year. This weakened the Euro. The British Pound is weak as the Bank of England is under pressure because of the U.K. housing slump. The direction of the Japanese Yen will depend on the U.S. stock market. A rally in stocks will send the Yen lower. Finally, rumors are circulating that the Bank of Canada is poised to lower rates at its next meeting in anticipation of a U.S. recession spreading north. This is attracting sellers to the Canadian Dollar.

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DISCLAIMER: Futures and options trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for every investor. The valuation of futures and options may fluctuate, and, as a result, clients may lose more than their original investment. The impact of seasonal and geopolitical events is already factored into market prices. Prices in the underlying cash or physical markets do not necessarily move in tandem with futures and options prices. In no event should the content of this correspondence be construed as an express or implied promise, guarantee or implication by or from Brewer Futures Group, LLC, Brewer Investment Group, LLC, or their subsidiaries and affiliates that you will profit or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Loss-limiting strategies such as stop loss orders may not be effective because market conditions may make it impossible to execute such orders. Likewise, strategies using combinations of options and/or futures positions such as "spread" or "straddle" trades may be just as risky as simple long and short positions. Past results are no indication of future performance.

Information provided in this correspondence is intended solely for informational purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible where projections of future conditions are attempted.

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