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U.S. Stock Indices Trade Flat Overnight |
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Thursday, 18 March 2010 |
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U.S. stock indices are trading flat overnight. Traders have largely ignored the weakness in the Euro over Greece concerns. This may mean that today’s menu of U.S. economic reports will have a bigger influence on stock prices.
The first report is Weekly Initial Claims. Traders will want to see improvements in the U.S. job situation in order to get a gauge of the developing U.S. recovery. The Consumer Price Index, due out at 7:30 am CT, will give traders a clue about U.S. inflation. Leading Indicators and Philadelphia Fed will give traders information about the robustness of the recovery.
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Fed Concerned About Housing and Employer Reluctance to Increase Payroll |
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Wednesday, 17 March 2010 |
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On Tuesday, the Federal Reserve left its benchmark interest rate unchanged and reiterated that interest rates would remain low for “an extended period”. In its statement, it also mentioned that inflation remains subdued, and that the weak employment situation seems to have stabilized. While this may sound rosy, the Fed did express concerns about housing and employer reluctance to increase payrolls.
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Drop in Asian Equity Markets Leads to Spillover Selling in U.S. Markets |
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Monday, 15 March 2010 |
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A drop in Asian equity markets is leading to spillover selling in the U.S. markets. The follow-through to the downside overnight appears to be a continuation of the sharp break from the high on Friday. Concerns over a credit rating cut in the U.K. and the lack of a bailout plan for Greece are two reasons for the selling pressure. This morning’s weakness will be a good test of investor demand since they have grown accustomed to buying dips throughout the recent rally.
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Stocks Continue to Rally Despite Drop in Volatility |
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Thursday, 11 March 2010 |
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U.S. equity markets are trading firm overnight after yesterday’s surge to the upside. Buying pressure dried up late in the session, but no damage was done to the uptrend. Volatility is falling which is making traders appear complacent. This could be both good and bad. On the good side, it could mean traders are gaining confidence in the recovery which will send prices higher. On the bad side, too much complacency leaves the markets vulnerable to a bearish surprise or could trigger the start of a sizeable correction. At this time let’s just focus on the trend and determine what it is telling us. The main trend is up in the March E-mini S&P 500. The swing chart indicates 1156.00 is the next upside target by March 12th.
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